Sunday, November 7, 2010

Pick 'Em: Week 9

Last Week: 10-3 (Season High)
On The Season: 62-50-4

1:00 PM Games

Tampa Bay At Atlanta If you want to discuss surprises this season, you better include the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At 5-2, the Buccaneers have the opportunity to take over fist place with a win in Atlanta. Quarterback Josh Freeman has completed 20 or more passes in four of his last five games. Heading into this week, against a depleted Atlanta secondary, expect good things. As for Atlanta, if the Falcons want to handle their business, they better run the ball early and often against Tampa's 30th ranked defense against the run. Buccaneers +9.5

Chicago At Buffalo The Bills are going to win this game outright. Yes, a winless Buffalo team, playing in Toronto, Canada is going to get their first victory. Even Vegas is willing to give the Bills only 3 points in this one. For two straight weeks, in Baltimore and Kansas City, the Bills lost overtime games to better opponents. The Bears?!? They're a mess. They've lost three of their last four after opening up 3-0. Both Seattle and Washington gave them fits in their own building in recent weeks. Bills +3

New England At Cleveland Yes, I think New England is in the proverbial driver's seat. Happy?!? They only play Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, and the Jets remaining, other than that, who's beating 'em? They've got rid of Randy Moss, and it didn't hurt 'em. The offense seems to be progressing and their defense is learning on the fly. Seriously though, who's beating them?!?! Patriots -4

New York (Jets) At Detroit This is going to be a tough one for Mark Sanchez. After playing near flawlessly for the first five weeks, Sanchez has had a rough go of it. Over the last two games Sanchez has thrown four interceptions, and over the last three his passer rating has slipped from 101.9 to 54.3, not exactly the super sophomore start he'd jumped out to. Against Detroit, a team with 8 interceptions and 23 sacks, today won't be an easy Sunday for Sanchez and the Jets. Lions +5

New Orleans At Carolina The Saints have yet to string together back-to-back wins since the first two weeks of the season. So after their 20-10 victory over Pittsburgh last week, what do you expect them to do this Sunday? Without the injured Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush, the defending champions have been very limited on offense. The Saints ground game is averaging just under 85 yards per game and has only produced two touchdowns through eight games. Panthers +6.5

Miami At Baltimore As far as the Dolphins go, I'm not out on 'em yet. After getting beat up by division rivals New York and New England, the Dolphins have rebounded with wins against Green Bay and Cincinnati and a 1-point loss to Pittsburgh. 4-0 On the road, traveling to Baltimore, can the Dolphins keep this up? The Ravens allowed almost four-hundred yards passing to Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bills last week. You'd be kicking yourself if Miami did cover and you went the opposite way because you were still considering the Ravens a Super Bowl favorite. Dolphins +5.5

San Diego At Houston The Texans have given up 30+ in each of their last three games. Injuries to Demeco Ryans and a beat up Mario Williams has clearly had an impact on the 4-3 Texans. Despite how badly San Diego has played this year, they can still score, see where I'm going with this? Everyone does, possibly the reason Houston is getting points at home. Texans +3

Arizona At Minnesota The Vikings have become an every day episode of As The World Turns. From Brett Favre and all that comes with him, to the departure of Randy Moss, to the rumours that head coach Brad Childress was going to be fired, and then yesterdays rumours of in-fighting between Childress and receiver Percy Harvin. Is there any surprise that this team is 2-5? They'll get a win against a weak Arizona team, but they've still got more problems than we have enough time for. Vikings -7.5

4:00 PM Games

New York (Giants) At Seattle The Giants have been looking as good as any in the NFC. Their defense is getting after the quarterback, they're sitting at 5-2 in the driver's seat of the NFC East, the offense is putting points on the board, doesn't get much better. The Giants are knocking out quarterbacks every week and getting back to the defense that was taking over games three years ago. Seattle is just in their way, especially after a bye week. Giants -7

Indianapolis At Philadelphia I like the Eagles in this game, Michael Vick is starting. I don't think all these injuries to Peyton's receivers are going to come to a head just yet, but soon. Their dicing up of Houston is more on the Texans than a tip of the cap to Peyton & Co. The Eagles are 11-0 under Andy Reid after a bye week, he prepares. Philadelphia is still laying in the weeds in the NFC and with Vick back, he's going to look to beat Indy on his own. No way the Colts win this game on a short week with Philly having two weeks to prepare. Eagles -3

Kansas City At Oakland I'm on the bandwagon with Oakland. They don't do it conventionally, they run the heck out of the ball, and they're fast. If they beat up Kansas City this week, they could be looking at a path toward the postseason. Did anyone have Oakland and Kansas City as the two teams who've amassed the most rushing yards till this point? Because they are. More than one site have this as a straight up pick 'em. But I'll take the Raiders -3

Sunday Night

Dallas At Green Bay I don't need to tell you how poor the Cowboys have played this season, you get it. With Romo laid up, it did get worse last week against Jacksonville. The real problem is the big play, which Dallas has let up countless times this season. The secondary has played so bad that quarterbacks are taking three seconds to get rid of the ball to wide open receivers, making it impossible for Dallas' big hitters on their defensive line to get to the quarterback. Cowboys +7 (I'm loyal to a fault)

Monday Night

Pittsburgh At Cincinnati Losers of four straight get Pittsburgh on Monday night followed by Indianapolis next week, ouch. Running back Cedric Benson has scored just two touchdowns for the Bengals and their defense is giving up 120 yards per game on the ground. Troy Polamalu is going to be able to drop back in coverage with a defense that allows just 60 yards on the ground per game, stabilizing a Bengals pass offense that has been good. It'll be a close one on Monday night, five points might just be too many. Bengals +5

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